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NVIDIA’s Vera Whitepaper Has a Thread Loose

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Hello you fine Internet folks,

NVIDIA has published a 45-page whitepaper explaining Vera, its first server CPU built around the company’s own Olympus core. On paper, Vera is a fascinating chip with an 88-core monolithic compute die, Olympus being a 10-wide Arm v9.2 core that has value prediction, a graph prefetcher, 2 MB of private L2 per core, 164 MB of shared last-level cache, and eight LPDDR5X memory interfaces promising 1.2 TB/s.

Unfortunately, NVIDIA also spends a good part of the paper trying to turn those interesting design choices into a morality play about x86. Traditional simultaneous multithreading is drawn as time-slicing, a configurable NUMA topology is presented as an unavoidable 32-node maze, four SPEC components become “agentic benchmarks,” undefined performance-counter ratios are promoted as causal proof, and an unlabeled pictogram becomes a 1.8x reinforcement-learning result.

The frustrating part is that Vera does not need this help, with early independent testing suggesting Olympus is genuinely formidable. The whitepaper’s strongest case is the hardware; its weakest case is the story wrapped around it, so let’s pull that story apart.

Olympus Deserves Better Than This Marketing

Before getting out the cheese grater, let’s talk about the good stuff. Olympus is a very wide out-of-order Arm core.

Its front end can decode ten instructions per cycle and handle up to two taken branches per cycle. NVIDIA describes a neural branch predictor, value prediction, memory renaming, a large instruction window, six 128-bit SVE pipes, four load pipes, two store pipes, a 96 KB L1 data cache, and roughly 10-cycle access to a 2 MB private L2. Eighty-eight of those cores sit behind a 3.4 TB/s coherency fabric and a distributed 164 MB system-level cache.

Looking closer at the core, the value prediction is one of the more unique additions that Olympus has. This has been a research area for a long time and what value prediction allows Olympus to do is if the core correctly predicts a result, dependent instructions can keep moving instead of piling up behind a long-latency operation. Researchers have discovered that Apple uses value prediction in their cores and AMD talked about how in Family 17h (Zen 1 and 2) they could predict the value of some floating point instructions. However, AMD’s Family 17h implementation was quite limited, while Olympus appears to have a broader value-prediction implementation closer to Apple’s.

However, the graph prefetcher is not unique to NVIDIA. Intel has a similar mechanism called Data-Dependent Prefetcher that has been in shipping silicon since at least 2022. Intel’s newest datacenter CPU, Granite Rapids, also has an Array of Pointers prefetcher which “treats the data prefetched for a constant stride load as a pointer and may issue prefetch requests to the memory addresses corresponding to the pointer’s value.” This is fundamentally the same producer-consumer idea that NVIDIA describes for its graph prefetcher. Intel’s implementation is fairly constrained, so NVIDIA’s implementation may be able to deal with more complex chains than Intel’s implementation. So while Vera’s Graph Prefetcher may be an implementation that can deal with more workloads, producer-consumer prefetching is not a new idea.

Nor is a “neural branch predictor” a new idea. Back in 2012, AMD implemented a perceptron branch predictor in the Piledriver microarchitecture and continued to use a perceptron-based branch predictor in Zen 1. However, starting with Zen 2, AMD used a perceptron BPU only for its initial direction prediction, with a TAGE predictor overriding it because it delivered a 30% reduction in mispredictions. With Zen 5, AMD has likely fully committed to TAGE predictors, if it had not already done so with Zen 3 or Zen 4.

Moving to the SoC side, with how beefy the Olympus core is, NVIDIA has given Vera an equally beefy memory subsystem. Vera pairs eight SOCAMM2 LPDDR5X modules with up to 1.5 TB of capacity and 1.2 TB/s of bandwidth. NVIDIA claims the populated memory subsystem only consumes approximately 50 watts. A conventional EPYC or Xeon platform can offer higher-capacity DIMMs which are easier to replace, but it pays for that flexibility in board area and power.

Most importantly, we have more than NVIDIA’s results to look at. In May, Michael Larabel at Phoronix ran an early Vera system against current Arm and x86 servers. Across the NVIDIA-permitted test set, Vera’s geomean was 10% above a 5 GHz EPYC 9575F, 1.55x a Xeon 6980P, and 1.63x Grace which makes Vera the most performant Arm server CPU we have seen in public testing. There are major caveats with the testing, such as NVIDIA choosing the permitted workload scope and not allowing frequency or power monitoring. The system that Phoronix tested was pre-production and the test window was one day which puts a fairly hard limit on what they could test irrespective of the limits NVIDIA placed. This means that broader coverage will have to wait until Vera can be found in the wild rather than just in NVIDIA’s labs.

Still, the result is strong enough that we can reject the explanation that the charts in NVIDIA’s whitepaper are all fantasy. Olympus appears to be a fast CPU core, so now we can ask whether the whitepaper proves what NVIDIA says it proves.

Spatial Multithreading Is Still SMT

Here is the first major technical error in the document.

Figure 5 contrasts “Traditional SMT (x86)” with NVIDIA’s Spatial Multithreading. The x86 side depicts the branch predictor, decode, execution, load/store, and memory stages alternating between two threads. The caption says Vera avoids “opportunistic time-sharing” by partitioning resources across its two hardware threads.

NVIDIA’s diagram gives a misleading impression of how SMT is usually implemented, both on x86-64 and other ISAs. SMT implementations share various stages in the execution pipeline by either selecting a thread to service every cycle, or by behaving in a thread-agnostic manner. Fetch, decode, and allocate typically service threads on a per-cycle basis, while the execute and memory access stages are thread agnostic and can service micro-ops from both threads in the same cycle. Stages that threads arbitrate for do not leave resources unused when both threads can be fed, as NVIDIA’s diagram suggests. Static partitioning and per-cycle selection would provide the same average throughput to both threads in the absence of per-thread stalls. If there are stalls, per-cycle selection can give otherwise unused throughput to the un-stalled thread.

Hypothetical example of decode stage activity for a processor that statically partitions decode for SMT, and an 8-wide one where decode selects a thread to service every cycle. Per-cycle thread selection can efficiently hide stalls in one thread, while static partitioning leaves throughput on the table

The same idea applies to thread agnostic stages like execute and cache access. Each thread is permitted to utilize as many execution units or cache ports as it can feed. In contrast, statically partitioning resources as NVIDIA suggests could lead to one thread being compute bound and unable to use half of the core’s execution resources because they’re reserved for the other thread.

Figure from Intel’s Pentium 4 SMT paper, showing how the execute stage can service both threads in the same cycle.

Text in NVIDIA’s paper emphasizes “determinism, isolation, and quality of service” as advantages for NVIDIA’s Spatial Multithreading approach. Performance is conspicuously not called out. QoS may be a more important consideration than throughput for NVIDIA’s target market, and Spatial Multithreading may not be a bad design point. But NVIDIA’s figure makes it look like vertical space represents time, and gives a misleading impression that Spatial Multithreading is meant to give larger performance gains than traditional SMT.

By reducing resource interference between threads, Spatial Multithreading improves determinism, isolation, and quality of service compared to traditional SMT approaches. The result is a CPU architecture that can run large numbers of concurrent agent tasks while maintaining more consistent latency and throughput. - NVIDIA’s Vera whitepaper

Vera’s actual SMT performance is unknown of course, and a lot of variables go into SMT gains besides partitioning strategies at fetch, decode, execute, and memory access. Out-of-order resources like the reorder buffer, register files, and memory ordering queues can be duplicated, statically partitioned, watermarked, or competitively shared. Partitioned structures were split between the two logical processors in multi-threaded mode and recombined for one thread in single-thread mode, which was documented in 2002. Various SMT implementations use different strategies for each structure, and those choices can have significant implications for SMT gains.

Table from AMD’s Zen 5 optimization guide, showing different sharing strategies for various core resources

Also something to note is that it apparently takes 10,000 cycles for an Olympus core to transition back to the single-thread mode once the sibling thread on that core is done. This means that software will have to be very aware about launching a second thread on an Olympus core due to the penalties incurred not only from the partitioning scheme but also from the delay of swapping back to a single thread.

It’ll be interesting to see what strategy Vera uses to partition its out-of-order resources, and how its SMT performance compares to that of other modern cores. NVIDIA’s whitepaper gives no information on that. What it does do is present a misleading diagram that suggests traditional SMT is prone to leaving resources unused, when it may actually be better at keeping the core fed than NVIDIA’s Spatial Multithreading.

The 32-NUMA-Node Straw Man

NVIDIA next tells us that a large two-socket x86 system can expose “as many as 32 NUMA domains,” while Vera presents one per socket. The number is not invented. On a many-chiplet EPYC system, an administrator can expose cache-local regions as separate NUMA nodes. If you turn every locality knob toward maximum granularity, the node count gets large.

What NVIDIA leaves out is that this is configurable with AMD’s tuning guide listing NPS4, NPS2, NPS1, and even NPS0 modes. The optional “LLC as NUMA” setting can expose each last-level-cache domain separately. So “32 NUMA nodes” is not the inevitable user experience of a chiplet CPU, it is one end of a locality-control spectrum. NVIDIA presents an optional high-granularity configuration as though it were an unavoidable reality of x86 systems.

Vera’s one domain per socket simplifies scheduling and memory placement, while multiple domains let tuned software exploit physical locality. Vera chooses the simpler presentation, and NVIDIA is free to argue that this better matches its intended software stack. But an OS-visible NUMA node is an abstraction, not a wormhole. Vera still has 88 cores, distributed cache and home nodes, memory controllers around a large die, and a packet-switched coherency fabric. A flat software topology can make those distances around the large monolithic compute die more consistent, but it cannot make them nonexistent.

The paper’s core-to-core heatmaps would be a good place to quantify that advantage. Instead, NVIDIA provides colored squares with no core identities, no minimum/median/maximum table, no distribution, and no measurement procedure. “Up to 50% lower” captures NVIDIA’s best result, not Vera’s typical behavior.

One NUMA node per socket is genuinely simpler, but the whitepaper compares it against an optional 32-domain x86 configuration and presents that edge case as the baseline. The counterpoint here is that Intel has a Mesh NoC just like Vera has. The difference really between these two setups is that the clustered setup of EPYC has high latency between clusters but within a cluster the latency is low, whereas Vera and Xeon Mesh setup has uniformly average latency; the different configurations are just engineering tradeoffs.

Turning SPEC into “Agentic AI”

The benchmark section is where the whitepaper, ostensibly about a CPU, starts wearing an AI conference badge it found on the floor.

NVIDIA selects four SPEC CPU 2026 integer workloads, CPython, GCC, LLVM, and Cppcheck, and calls them “agentic benchmarks.” SPEC itself describes them as a Python interpreter, two optimizing compilers, and a C/C++ static analyzer. Those are legitimate CPU programs. They stress large instruction footprints, branch-heavy code, allocation, and dependency chains. Agents can absolutely invoke programs like them.

But they are not agents: no model is serving tokens, no agent runtime is choosing tools. No sandbox is starting, blocking on I/O, retrieving context, evaluating an answer, or feeding observations back into a policy. These workloads may be useful proxies for the code-heavy portions of an agentic pipeline. Calling them “agentic benchmarks,” however, turns that partial overlap into a claim that they represent the complete end-to-end workload.

The paper does correctly label the SPEC results as estimates, because the Vera reference hardware was not generally available at the time of the run. Figure 15 shows a 1.7x to 1.8x advantage for the four selected components, normalized per physical core under a fully loaded two-socket system. Flip to the configuration pages and the full estimated SPECrate 2026 Integer Base totals are 925 for two Vera sockets and 898 for two EPYC 9755 sockets which is a 3.0% system-throughput advantage.

Both numbers can be true. Vera uses 176 physical cores across two sockets, while the EPYC system uses 256. Divide each score by physical-core count and Vera is about 50% faster per core across the full integer-rate suite with the selected tests reaching 70 to 80%.

There is another terminology collision. NVIDIA calls Figure 19 “single thread IPC” while describing a fully loaded system.

The published configuration runs 352 copies on 176 Vera cores and 512 copies on 256 EPYC cores, two copies per physical core. Maybe NVIDIA sampled one logical thread while its sibling was active, maybe it aggregated counters and divided, the paper does not say. The SPEC results are useful, and Vera’s per-core performance is genuinely strong. However, framing those tests as agentic workloads and emphasizing normalized figures makes the advantage appear broader than the disclosed results justify.

IPC Without Instructions

NVIDIA attributes Olympus’s reported IPC lead to four counter groups. Depending on the selected workload, Vera supposedly achieves up to 2.3x more branch predictions per cycle, 3.5x more taken branches per cycle, 2.4x more instruction-fetch operations per cycle, and 4.3x more backend operations per cycle.

That sounds technically specific, but it is impossible to audit without the PMU event names and definitions, raw counts, sampling intervals, clock frequencies, etc. Not to mention that an Arm instruction is not the same unit of work as an x86 instruction. An internal backend operation is even less portable: one microarchitecture may split an instruction into several micro-operations while another keeps it fused.

Cross-ISA IPC can still be informative when paired with retired-work counts, clock frequencies, and code analysis. It cannot stand alone as a performance metric. Two binaries can complete the same task in the same amount of time while reporting very different IPC. For one may simply retire more instructions that are doing less work per instruction, then you have to factor in clock frequency which could be wildly different. IPC describes the behavior of the core running a piece of code, not a universal measure of useful work.

Looking at the branch predictor results, more branch predictions per cycle could indicate a capable predictor or it could also mean the Arm binary contains more branches, the benchmark moves through code faster, or NVIDIA’s event counts speculative predictions that the EPYC event does not. Higher backend operations per cycle may correlate with performance while telling us little about which feature caused it. To isolate value prediction, graph prefetching, or the neural predictor, we need on/off experiments or at least event definitions and miss rate deltas. While the IPC advantage of Vera over Turin may be real, the charts in NVIDIA’s whitepaper don’t provide enough granularity of the results to show it.

Vera’s Memory Advantage Is Real and Misattributed

The memory section contains NVIDIA’s strongest result and one of its weakest conclusions.

Against the dual-socket EPYC 9755 system in the paper, Vera reaches roughly 1.1 TB/s in NVIDIA’s loaded-latency plot while Turin levels off near 400 GB/s. Vera also shows 12.7 GB/s per core versus 3.1 GB/s per core for Turin. Those results do not line up with our testing of Turin CPUs.

In our testing of Turin, we were able to get approximately 570 GB/s out of Turin with the 12 channel DDR5-6400 memory subsystem. This is in direct contradiction to NVIDIA’s results which top out at ~400 GB/s of memory bandwidth. This does also throw the per-core memory bandwidth numbers into dispute with the per-core bandwidth increasing to ~4.5GB/s for the EPYC 9755.

Vera still comes out ahead, but our Turin result substantially changes the size of that advantage. Comparing Vera’s roughly 1.1 TB/s against the 570 GB/s we measured gives NVIDIA a 1.9× bandwidth lead rather than the nearly 3× lead shown in the whitepaper. Revising the EPYC 9755’s per-core result from 3.1 GB/s to approximately 4.5 GB/s similarly reduces Vera’s advantage from 4.1× to roughly 2.8×. And if we look at the SKU that AMD actually puts forward as the SKU for AI head nodes, the EPYC 9575F, then the per-core result becomes 12.7 GB/s vs the 9575F’s ~9 GB/s which is about 40% improvement for Vera. Those are still good numbers for Vera, but they tell a considerably less dramatic story.

Looking at the theoretical figures, AMD lists Turin’s limit at 614 GB/s from its 12 DDR5-6400 channels. Our 570 GB/s result reaches approximately 93% of that theoretical limit. Vera’s eight LPDDR5X-9600 interfaces provide 1.2 TB/s, while NVIDIA’s measured 1.1 TB/s reaches roughly 92% of that figure. In other words, both processors convert a remarkably similar percentage of their theoretical memory bandwidth into sustained bandwidth. Vera wins because it has approximately twice the peak bandwidth of one Turin socket and fewer cores competing for it, not because Turin is unusually poor at using its available memory bandwidth.

Despite that, the whitepaper repeatedly credits Vera’s monolithic compute die while contrasting it with “traditional chiplet-based CPUs.” A monolithic die may reduce fabric traversal and improve loaded latency, but our Turin result directly weakens that explanation for the bandwidth difference. A chiplet-based EPYC 9755 reaching approximately 93% of its theoretical limit is clearly not being held back by its chiplet topology in this case. The bulk of Vera’s bandwidth advantage comes from the memory interfaces attached to the processor.

The comparison also aged almost immediately. NVIDIA published its technical blog and whitepaper on July 21, while AMD launched 6th Gen EPYC two days later. The 96-core EPYC 9686F, which is much closer to Vera’s 88-core count, provides 16 memory channels supporting DDR5-8000 or MRDIMM-12800 for 1,024 or 1,638 GB/s per socket with the top MRDIMM speed giving Venice more theoretical bandwidth than Vera both in total memory bandwidth and per-core memory bandwidth depending on what SKU you look at.

What the new EPYC specifications and our Turin testing demonstrate is narrower than NVIDIA’s claim of “3× more memory bandwidth than the latest x86 CPU” depends on a Turin result that does not represent the bandwidth we could extract from the same processor generation. Against our result, Vera delivers approximately 1.9× the total bandwidth and 2.8× the bandwidth per core, that remains an impressive platform result but it is not evidence of a bandwidth advantage for monolithic Arm processors over chiplet-based x86 CPUs.

The Graph and RL Charts Need Data

NVIDIA reports a 2.6x PageRank advantage over EPYC 9755 and shows Vera scaling almost linearly to 32 cores while EPYC flattens to just a 10X performance increase at 32 cores. NVIDIA attributes this improvement over Turin as down to the monolithic compute die with their high-bandwidth Scalable Coherent Fabric, the 1.2 TB/s of memory bandwidth that Vera has, and the graph prefetcher inside the Olympus core.

However, while the paper links GAP Benchmark Suite, it omits what variables NVIDIA used which are important factors on how this test runs. The scaling plot stops at 32 cores even though the machines have 88 and 128 cores per socket. While the 2.6x result is interesting, without the variables that NVIDIA used, the result is likely irreproducible.

For the ClickHouse testing, NVIDIA links directly to Phoronix’s result where Vera led the tested processors across three passes over a 100-million-row dataset. The whitepaper’s 1.2x chart is still selective due to not using the 9575F results, but an outside tester produced the underlying result with a recognizable workload.

Then we reach Figure 24, “Vera drives 1.8x for RL training,” with the figure being a row of little completed-task squares. There is no model, environment, CPU/GPU allocation, framework, batch size, power measurement, repetition count, or error bar. We do not even know whether the squares represent samples, steps, or some random layout of tiles at NVIDIA HQ.

This is not a bad benchmark, it simply is not a benchmark at all.

The surrounding text explains why a faster CPU could improve reinforcement-learning rollouts with faster environment steps and reward computation can feed accelerators more quickly however Figure 24 does not even pretend to measure it.

A Good CPU Does Not Need a Bad Argument

After 45 pages, my position on Vera is more positive than my position on the Vera whitepaper.

Olympus looks like a serious core with a 10-wide fixed-length decoder, large private caches, value prediction, aggressive branch handling, graph-aware prefetching, and a monolithic 88-core die all being choices pointing to a very high-performance CPU core. The memory setup is no slouch either with the LPDDR5X subsystem delivering up to 1.2 TB/s of memory bandwidth that memory bandwidth-hungry server workloads will love, and early independent benchmarks say the silicon can cash at least some of the checks that the whitepaper writes.

However, the paper’s competitive argument is much shakier, with it mischaracterizing x86 SMT, turning an optional NUMA configuration into a default burden, relabelling standard CPU tests as agentic workloads, hiding a 3% two-socket rate lead behind 1.8x per-core bars, comparing undefined cross-ISA counters, attributing a memory-interface win to monolithic virtue, and presenting an illustration as performance data.

None of that makes Vera slow, it simply makes NVIDIA’s proof smaller than NVIDIA Marketing’s prose.

The next round of Vera testing should be straightforward. Give independent reviewers unrestricted production hardware so that we can publish frequency, package power, and wall power figures along with testing Spatial Multithreading on/off results and of course running whatever benchmark/workload we wish on Vera. If Vera is as good as its architecture suggests, those tests will be much more persuasive than drawing x86 SMT as a tiny two-lane traffic light. The way things stand, NVIDIA’s marketing risks tarnishing Vera. NVIDIA has built enough CPU here, it can stop borrowing performance from the marketing pipeline.

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petrilli
16 hours ago
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Axon Is Another License Plate Surveillance Company

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Governments are switching, but I’m not sure it makes a difference:

…some municipalities, including Denver, Colorado, are ditching their Flock arrays. But keep in mind that if they’re only switching from Flock to another brand of license-plate readers, like Axon, it’s like a gambling addict trying to kick the habit by switching from FanDuel to DraftKings.

[…]

Despite what you may read on the Flock website, Axon cameras are pretty effective when it comes to hoovering up personal details that can go far beyond your license plate numbers. That means a municipality that opts for Axon cameras instead of Flock units won’t necessarily reduce the amount privacy its citizens lose through their use...

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petrilli
9 days ago
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AI Data Centers and the Concentration of Wealth

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This essay was written with Nathan E. Sanders, and originally appeared in The Guardian.

Opposition to AI data centers has emerged as a primary theme in US politics, one that—surprisingly—doesn’t fall along party lines. We applaud people coming together for constructive debate on any issue, and agree that communities need to evaluate whether any economic benefits these data centers bring is worth their costs. Still, we worry that a focus on data centers obscures the larger impacts of AI on people’s lives: the concentration of power of AI companies, and their widespread political and financial influence.

Local data center opposition is grounded in legitimate concerns about misallocation of land resources when housing is at a premium, pressures on already higher energy prices, and localized environmental impact. Unlike other resource-consuming and polluting industrial facilities, data centers produce very few jobs. The fact that US opposition to data centers seems to be most fierce among lower-income communities reflects righteous indignation with an inequitable bargain, where tech companies and developers profit from exploiting local resources but offer little in return. On a global scale, their carbon footprint could grow unsustainably if usage accelerates. And all this is in aid of a technology that many fear will propagate misinformation, take their jobs, or even cause existential risks for humanity.

For some, data center opposition may feel like the only tangible mechanism for registering their concern, disapproval, or even anger about AI. The problem is that this may be exactly what the AI companies are banking on. They can overcome the protest when it matters to them, and live with a significant fraction of proposals being defeated. More importantly, focusing political opponents on the data center issue obscures the bigger prize they’re after.

While there is a staggering three-quarters of a trillion dollars being spent on data center infrastructure by US companies this year alone, this investment should be taken in perspective. The market for enterprise software, for example, is about twice this size. And it’s small compared with what these companies actually want.

AI companies have their eyes set on capturing all the value created by entire industries. The technology has arguably already conquered customer service and consumer sales. But on the horizon are bigger targets, such as enterprise software development, creative design, management and even legal services. In AI companies and their allies’ vision of the future, AI replaces teachers and doctors. The companies would rather spend time fighting resistance to how fast they are building computing infrastructure than dealing with issues of how their products should be used in those fields, or how those fields should be protected from their products.

And while data center opposition campaigns have been successful in building widespread appeal, their effectiveness in the US is mixed. They seem to be most successful when organizing against speculative, early-stage data center proposals that have a relatively low likelihood to ever see fruition. Meanwhile, advanced-stage, well-capitalized data center projects have proven to have the resources to overcome local opposition. An OpenAI- and Oracle-backed facility in Saline township, Michigan, is breaking ground on construction even after local officials voted to reject it. The developers sued the town of 3,000 and forced a settlement that involved their project going forward. Meanwhile, the Trump administration, a vigorous ally of corporate AI, has signaled its willingness to advance AI infrastructure development by overriding state objections and even using federal lands.

Also consider that rampant data center development may be a momentary spike rather than a longstanding concern. Demand for the centralized computing that data centers provide may well decline over time. The leading Chinese labs, such as Z.ai, are innovating in technical mechanisms to make frontier-class models smaller and cheaper to run. AI power users have become adept at miniaturizing open weight models, ones published free for anyone to download and use, to run locally on their own computers. Apple and Google both support infrastructure stacks for running AI models directly on mobile phones. It could be that the current mania for data centers will look like the fiber optic cable bubble from the early 2000s, as demand shifts to smaller models and AI usage on people’s own devices.

For those concerned primarily with affordability and environmental protection, singling out data center construction is misplaced. Energy rates and inflation today seem to be most visibly affected by the US-Iran war. The US is disinvesting in long-term energy security by ceding the renewable energy industry to China and actively cancelling climate commitments. Consider that 10% of global carbon emissions stem from heating buildings, which dwarfs energy use by AI and could be cut fivefold by using heat pumps powered by renewable energy. With respect to housing affordability, federal housing subsidies have changed little over three decades, in inflation-adjusted terms, even as housing costs have spiked and homeowners have enjoyed robust tax incentives.

As for AI itself, the concentration of power and wealth in these tech companies is the greatest existential risk facing society today. This means we must limit corporate power, especially corporations’ ability to exploit the public and manipulate our political system.

Opposing data centers should be just a starting point. We can advocate for states to regulate AI, to reject irresponsible uses of the technology, and shape corporate behavior. We can fight for AI computation to be taxed, so that the public can capture some of the profit of AI use while also forcing AI companies to internalize more of the energy and environmental consequences associated with its use. And we all can join the global movement for Public AI, an alternative ecosystem for AI that is developed under public control with an incentive structure to create public benefit rather than private profit.

The US midterm elections present ample opportunity for those seeking to control the AI political agenda. In the recent New York congressional Democratic primary, PACs linked to the dueling AI companies Anthropic and OpenAI spent millions of dollars lobbying for or against “AI safety“, the idea that we must urgently monitor and prevent people from using AI to cause catastrophic harms. We’re already seeing a similar dynamic play out in races in Massachusetts and other states.

Why would Anthropic and OpenAI—bitter industry rivals but fundamentally on the same side politically—support opposing viewpoints? Because they both ultimately profit from the mystique: the idea that their products are so powerful that controlling those products is the world’s most important challenge. Here’s the typical read on the dynamic. To one side (backed by OpenAI affiliates), “safety” comes from the appearance of US industry dominating AI innovation, under the slow-moving control of federal lawmakers (and without pesky state regulators in the way). To the other side (backed by Anthropic), “safety” means a heavier regulatory framework that plays to Anthropic’s posturing as the ethics- and compliance-focused AI vendor. In both cases, it’s more marketing than principled concern about safety.

Political organizers should call out and reject the AI companies’ framing of the debate, and reorient campaign agendas around populist resistance to corporate concentration of wealth and power. When AI companies pump millions into legislative races, the result should not be hyperbolic discussion of AI superintelligence. And when a plot of land in a small town is pitched as a data center site, the debate should be about more than the local costs and benefits. It should include out-of-control money in politics, and Citizens United-proof solutions to limit corporate influence like public financing and state regulation.

We all have a vested interest in what’s on the policy agenda, and what the outcomes are. Today, the greatest risk AI poses to society is the exacerbation of inequality and the concentration of wealth. The real problem is trillion-dollar AI companies and their trillionaire oligarchs cozying up to political power in Washington and governments worldwide, and using their money to enact their agenda over the popular will of the people. This is the issue we’d like to see put front and center, and it requires solutions much more extensive than slowing data center development.

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petrilli
23 days ago
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Samsung chip division's single-year profits beat its past 40 years of profits, combined, due to increased memory and storage prices — Samsung passes Nvidia to become most profitable company in the world, notches 19x quarterly increase in profit

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Samsung announced stellar results last night, noting a 19x quarterly increase in operating profit, allowing the firm to pass Nvidia as the most profitable in the world. Kim Yong-Kwan, president and head of corporate management, strategy, and operations for Samsung Electronics' Device Solutions (DS) division, said that the semiconductor unit's 2026 operating profit will exceed everything it has earned across roughly 40 years in the chip business at a company town hall last Friday, according to a report published Monday by Korea JoongAng Daily.

Brokerage consensus puts Samsung's full-year 2026 operating profit near 300 trillion won ($196 billion), and its second-quarter figure at about 84.6 trillion won ($55.1 billion). Samsung easily beat the consensus with $58.5 billion when it posted preliminary results on July 7, overtaking Nvidia's most recent quarterly operating profit of $53.54 billion and becoming the most profitable technology company in the world for the period, on the back of AI-driven memory demand.

Samsung's DS division booked 53.7 trillion won ($35.1 billion) of the company's 57.2 trillion won in total operating profit during the first quarter of 2026, roughly 94% of the total, which is why the division's projection sits so close to Samsung's full-year consensus.

"This year's profit will exceed the cumulative profit generated over the past 40 years since we entered the semiconductor business," Kim Yong-Kwan told staff, scoping the claim to the chip business rather than the wider conglomerate.

Samsung entered the semi space by acquiring Korea Semiconductor in 1974 and shipped its first 64Kb DRAM in the mid-1980s. SamMobile estimates the division's cumulative operating profit from 1985 to 2025 at under 300 trillion won. Samsung's smartphone, display, and appliance businesses have earned far more than that over the same period, so the record applies to memory and logic chips, not to Samsung overall.

Contract prices for DRAM and NAND have risen steeply through 2026 as AI server demand outran supply, pushing memory makers toward 40% to 50% operating margins on NAND in the first half of the year. Prices for 12 GB LPDDR5X modules have reached about $145, and Samsung is negotiating further commodity DRAM increases for the third quarter. The DS division's earnings move with those contract prices, and Samsung has told customers to expect tight supply through at least 2027.

Samsung is releasing preliminary second-quarter figures on July 7, so these record projections are still estimates. The reported profit will also absorb a profit-sharing agreement that pays chip workers 10.5% of DS operating profit as stock, worth as much as $26.6 billion this year. SK hynix is due to report its own second-quarter results on July 29, and analysts expect the two companies to post combined operating profits near 150 trillion won for the quarter.



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petrilli
29 days ago
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Absolutely normal things.
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DARPA plans 30-year endurance nuclear waste batteries to power next-gen drones, says report — project SYMPHONEE aims to harvest Strontium-90 to power persistent military drones

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Batteries that can last decades between recharges or renewals are the stuff of tech enthusiast dreams. However, DARPA’s ‘Rads to Watts’ program could bring forth unrivaled portable power, lasting decades, via the development of a new class of radiovoltaic devices. Morgan State University recently won a $3.37M DARPA contract to advance this tech, and a report by Defense One suggests upcoming nuclear waste-powered batteries could last as long as 30 years and power next-gen drones.

Morgan State now has a considerable sum to keep its researchers employed on a project dubbed SYMPHONEE (Strontium-Yttrium Multi-junction PIN-based High-Density Output Nano-system for Extreme Environments). Radioisotope power sources have been used for quite some time in low-power draw applications such as smoke detectors and space systems for decades. However, the new initiative, led by Morgan State and with team members such as Northrop Grumman, PNNL, Project Omega, ARA, and Widetronix, aims to take the tech into the next generation. More specifically, under the auspices of (and with funds from) the 'Rads to Watts' program, they are aiming to build next‑generation radiovoltaic micro‑power systems for extreme environments.

The proposed next-gen power cells make use of radioisotopes extracted from nuclear waste, especially Strontium‑90. Research partner Project Omega has already made some devices and will build the DARPA prototype. We noticed that it has published a promotional video that highlights sea drones with a 10-year battery life, for example. Coordinated by Morgan State researchers, PNNL labs will handle nuclear materials/testing, Northrop Grumman and ARA will provide AI-driven modeling, with Widetronix designing nuclear micro‑generator radiovoltaic converter architectures.

“Our team is pushing the boundaries of radiovoltaic technology, developing high-power, long-life systems that were not previously achievable,” said Professor Michael Spencer, the technical lead for the project. “By integrating advanced materials, device engineering, and nuclear science, we are laying the foundation for a new generation of persistent power systems for extreme environments.”

radiovoltaic battery advances
Project Omega
radiovoltaic battery advances
Project Omega

With this research, development, and fabrication powerhouse assembled, it is hoped a step change will be achieved to boost radiovoltaic micro‑power system power density. The goal is to be able to power persistent autonomous operations in remote or difficult-to-access environments like space, underwater, and contested regions – for decades. A Northrop Grumman rep emphasized the potential of a ‘persistent power source’ becoming available for “next-generation defense systems.” Project Omega is also interested in developing “persistent underwater security systems” – sea drones.

It is also somewhat positive to imagine that substances long considered to be highly undesirable waste products could end up being strategic assets.



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petrilli
31 days ago
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Good thing there's no way that flying radioactive waste around could possibly end badly.
Seattle, WA
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Free The Icons

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With last year’s release of MacOS 26 (Tahoe), Apple made a mess of app icons. In the first betas of MacOS 27 (Golden Gate), however, there are signs of a turnaround. We’re urging Apple to continue making improvements, by restoring the ability for MacOS app icons to have distinct shapes.

Apple’s Liquid Glass App Icons

In Tahoe, Apple modified the icons for dozens of their first-party apps to give them a “Liquid Glass” appearance. The changes were a substantial regression, leading to blurry, dumbed-down icons.

Two Automator icons, one pre-Tahoe with a detailed robot and one on Tahoe, with a hard-to-distiguish robot face.

With the recently unveiled Golden Gate, Apple has again updated their MacOS app icons. This time, however, the changes are genuine improvements. Here’s the refined Automator icon, for example:

The newer icon is sharper, with superfluous Liquid Glass removed. Dozens of Apple’s apps have seen similar updates. The result is that Golden Gate’s icons are superior to Tahoe’s, as this comparison from Basic Apple Guy shows. Seeing these improvements led me to think about another fix Apple should make in MacOS.

The Problem of Tahoe’s Dictated Squircles

With the Tahoe release, Apple didn’t just mess with their own icons. They also dictated the shape of every third-party app icon, forcing them to adopt the same prescribed squircle. Any icon that failed to do so found itself shrunk down and imprisoned in an ugly gray background, in order to fit Apple’s desired aesthetic.

Audio Hijack outside of, and inside, icon jail
Audio Hijack’s icon as it used to appear, and in Tahoe icon jail

To avoid this icon jail, developers were forced to redesign their icons to match Apple’s preferred form. After decades of beautiful, memorable Mac icons in varying shapes, Tahoe flattened personality to obtain bland uniformity. The platform is worse for it.

Past icons weren’t just more expressive. They were also more usable. Having distinct shapes provided a useful way to tell icons apart. Tahoe eliminates that cue by forcing everything into the same squircle, leaving color as the primary way to tell icons apart at a glance.

That falls down if you’ve got color vision deficiency, or even just multiple icons with similar color schemes.1 I’m looking at you, Slack and Photos. I have to look closely, because it’s so difficult to tell you apart now.

It Doesn’t Have to Be Like This

Apple’s prohibition on shapes is a step backward for both usability and creativity in app icons. Icons are now harder to distinguish because they’re no longer allowed to be distinctive. But there’s no technical reason for it. Apple could, and should, once again allow icons to take on a wide variety of shapes.

It’s clear that some people within Apple recognize that the transition to Liquid Glass introduced mistakes. They also appear to have the authority to fix those mistakes. Refinements to Apple’s own icons in Golden Gate are a welcome course correction, as is the much-celebrated Liquid Glass opacity slider. It’s time to correct the mistake of banning icon shapes as well.2

Apple should stop forcing every icon into the same squircle. Let’s return to a world of gorgeous app icons like these:

A collection of gorgeous old school icons

Free the icons.


Footnotes:

  1. With color now so critical to tell icons apart, it should be no surprise that the new “Clear” and “Tinted” icon styles added in Tahoe are seeing so little uptake. As Adam Engst noted, “[I]t’s nearly impossible to identify a particular app when they’re all clear or tinted squircles, as you can see below. My brain just shuts down when it sees them.”

    A sea of identical-looking icons on Tahoe, all tinted blue

    I’m not sure this “Tinted” style would be a good idea even if these icons had distinct shapes, but I know it’s a very bad one given their uniformity. ↩︎

  2. For folks within Apple, this was feedback filed as FB23388490 (“Third-Party App Icons Should Not Be Restricted to Apple’s Dictated Squircle Shape”). I imagine it is a duplicate many times over. ↩︎

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petrilli
38 days ago
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Seattle, WA
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